Week 12 · Sunday, Nov 29 · 1:00 pm ET · Huntington Bank Field
TBD referee · 7 rest days (LV) / 14 (CLE)
Model
Projected LV 27.4 – CLE 19.7
margin −7.7 · total 47.1
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| LV | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| +2.7 9th | Power rating | 32nd −6.5 |
| −0.4 20th | Offense rating | 26th −2.7 |
| +3.1 4th | Defense rating | 30th −3.8 |
| −0.029 20th | Offense EPA/play | 26th −0.206 |
| −0.242 4th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 30th +0.310 |
| 43.1% 18th | Offense success rate | 17th 43.1% |
| 34.6% 3rd | Defense success rate allowed | 32nd 59.3% |
| +0.027 18th | Pass EPA/dropback | 28th −0.257 |
| −0.183 7th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 32nd +0.731 |
| −0.083 16th | Rush EPA/carry | 21st −0.119 |
| −0.399 3rd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 20th −0.053 |
| 7.7% 19th | Explosive play rate | 18th 7.8% |
| 10.9% 23rd | Explosive rate allowed | 32nd 16.7% |
| 41.7% 15th | 3rd-down conversion | 32nd 12.5% |
| 20.0% 6th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 25th 55.6% |
| 75.0% 13th | Red-zone TD rate | 30th 0.0% |
| 33.3% 4th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 6.5% 4th | Pressure rate allowed | 31st 30.0% |
| 24.3% 5th | Pressure rate | 22nd 12.5% |
| 18.2% 24th | Turnover rate | 30th 22.2% |
| 18.2% 7th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 27.0 13th | Points per game | 28th 10.0 |
| 13.0 6th | Points allowed per game | 27th 34.0 |
| −5.6% – | Pass rate over expected | – −9.7% |
| 36.5 31st | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 32nd 38.8 |
| −0.029 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.206 |
| −0.242 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.310 |
| +5.0 5th | Special teams EPA | 2nd +6.1 |
LV offense vs CLE defense
Offense percentiles for LV against the matching defensive percentiles for CLE. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LVCLE D
CLE offense vs LV defense
Offense percentiles for CLE against the matching defensive percentiles for LV. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CLELV D