Week 12 · Sunday, Nov 29 · 8:20 pm ET · SoFi Stadium (dome)
TBD referee · 14 rest days (NE) / 7 (LAC)
Model
Projected NE 24.4 – LAC 23.6
margin −0.8 · total 48.0
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| NE | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| −1.5 22nd | Power rating | 28th −3.9 |
| −1.2 22nd | Offense rating | 24th −2.2 |
| −0.3 18th | Defense rating | 25th −1.7 |
| −0.092 22nd | Offense EPA/play | 24th −0.167 |
| +0.029 18th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 25th +0.139 |
| 40.9% 23rd | Offense success rate | 24th 40.0% |
| 38.8% 8th | Defense success rate allowed | 27th 48.6% |
| +0.127 15th | Pass EPA/dropback | 23rd −0.087 |
| +0.196 21st | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 25th +0.270 |
| −0.451 32nd | Rush EPA/carry | 29th −0.360 |
| −0.195 8th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 22nd −0.044 |
| 1.4% 31st | Explosive play rate | 25th 5.5% |
| 10.2% 21st | Explosive rate allowed | 9th 5.6% |
| 31.3% 21st | 3rd-down conversion | 23rd 25.0% |
| 18.2% 4th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 22nd 46.2% |
| 50.0% 20th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 0.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 7th 40.0% |
| 14.3% 14th | Pressure rate allowed | 9th 11.4% |
| 22.2% 6th | Pressure rate | 21st 12.8% |
| 33.3% 31st | Turnover rate | 27th 20.0% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 10.0 28th | Points per game | 24th 14.0 |
| 13.0 6th | Points allowed per game | 17th 26.0 |
| −3.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – +0.3% |
| 31.9 24th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 16th 29.9 |
| −0.092 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.167 |
| +0.029 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.139 |
| +1.0 18th | Special teams EPA | 31st −4.3 |
NE offense vs LAC defense
Offense percentiles for NE against the matching defensive percentiles for LAC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NELAC D
LAC offense vs NE defense
Offense percentiles for LAC against the matching defensive percentiles for NE. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LACNE D