Week 12 · Sunday, Nov 29 · 4:25 pm ET · Levi's Stadium
TBD referee · 14 rest days (SEA) / 7 (SF)
Model
Projected SEA 21.4 – SF 26.6
margin +5.2 · total 47.9
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| SEA | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.5 11th | Power rating | 4th +5.2 |
| +0.3 15th | Offense rating | 7th +2.3 |
| +1.2 11th | Defense rating | 5th +2.9 |
| +0.029 15th | Offense EPA/play | 7th +0.190 |
| −0.092 11th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 5th −0.226 |
| 38.8% 25th | Offense success rate | 3rd 56.9% |
| 40.9% 10th | Defense success rate allowed | 17th 43.3% |
| +0.196 12th | Pass EPA/dropback | 11th +0.227 |
| +0.127 18th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 4th −0.270 |
| −0.195 25th | Rush EPA/carry | 3rd +0.142 |
| −0.451 1st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 9th −0.171 |
| 10.2% 12th | Explosive play rate | 19th 7.7% |
| 1.4% 2nd | Explosive rate allowed | 12th 6.7% |
| 18.2% 28th | 3rd-down conversion | 4th 58.3% |
| 31.3% 12th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 7th 22.2% |
| 0.0% 30th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 4th 33.3% |
| 22.2% 27th | Pressure rate allowed | 3rd 5.6% |
| 14.3% 18th | Pressure rate | 3rd 27.6% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 16th 11.1% |
| 33.3% 2nd | Takeaway rate | 5th 20.0% |
| 13.0 25th | Points per game | 13th 27.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 1st 7.0 |
| −5.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – +5.1% |
| 28.9 13th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 25th 32.7 |
| +0.029 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.190 |
| −0.092 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.226 |
| +1.3 16th | Special teams EPA | 25th −0.7 |
SEA offense vs SF defense
Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for SF. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SEASF D
SF offense vs SEA defense
Offense percentiles for SF against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SFSEA D