Week 13 · Sunday, Dec 6 · 1:00 pm ET · Huntington Bank Field
TBD referee · 7 rest days (CIN) / 7 (CLE)
Model
Projected CIN 27.8 – CLE 21.7
margin −6.0 · total 49.5
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| CIN | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.0 14th | Power rating | 32nd −6.5 |
| −0.0 18th | Offense rating | 26th −2.7 |
| +1.1 12th | Defense rating | 30th −3.8 |
| +0.001 18th | Offense EPA/play | 26th −0.206 |
| −0.081 12th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 30th +0.310 |
| 47.6% 10th | Offense success rate | 17th 43.1% |
| 51.8% 28th | Defense success rate allowed | 32nd 59.3% |
| −0.030 21st | Pass EPA/dropback | 28th −0.257 |
| −0.168 8th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 32nd +0.731 |
| +0.050 8th | Rush EPA/carry | 21st −0.119 |
| +0.118 29th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 20th −0.053 |
| 11.1% 7th | Explosive play rate | 18th 7.8% |
| 5.4% 7th | Explosive rate allowed | 32nd 16.7% |
| 57.1% 5th | 3rd-down conversion | 32nd 12.5% |
| 50.0% 24th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 25th 55.6% |
| 40.0% 24th | Red-zone TD rate | 30th 0.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 16.2% 21st | Pressure rate allowed | 31st 30.0% |
| 16.7% 11th | Pressure rate | 22nd 12.5% |
| 10.0% 15th | Turnover rate | 30th 22.2% |
| 40.0% 1st | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 33.0 7th | Points per game | 28th 10.0 |
| 27.0 18th | Points allowed per game | 27th 34.0 |
| +5.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – −9.7% |
| 23.1 3rd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 32nd 38.8 |
| +0.001 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.206 |
| −0.081 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.310 |
| +5.6 3rd | Special teams EPA | 2nd +6.1 |
CIN offense vs CLE defense
Offense percentiles for CIN against the matching defensive percentiles for CLE. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CINCLE D
CLE offense vs CIN defense
Offense percentiles for CLE against the matching defensive percentiles for CIN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CLECIN D