Week 13 · Monday, Dec 7 · 8:15 pm ET · Lumen Field
TBD referee · 11 rest days (DAL) / 8 (SEA)
Model
Projected DAL 26.1 – SEA 30.3
margin +4.2 · total 56.4
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| DAL | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| −1.2 20th | Power rating | 11th +1.5 |
| +3.3 5th | Offense rating | 15th +0.3 |
| −4.5 32nd | Defense rating | 11th +1.2 |
| +0.271 5th | Offense EPA/play | 15th +0.029 |
| +0.363 32nd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 11th −0.092 |
| 48.3% 8th | Offense success rate | 25th 38.8% |
| 59.1% 31st | Defense success rate allowed | 10th 40.9% |
| +0.425 5th | Pass EPA/dropback | 12th +0.196 |
| +0.667 31st | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 18th +0.127 |
| −0.100 18th | Rush EPA/carry | 25th −0.195 |
| +0.059 26th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 1st −0.451 |
| 0.0% 32nd | Explosive play rate | 12th 10.2% |
| 6.1% 10th | Explosive rate allowed | 2nd 1.4% |
| 72.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion | 28th 18.2% |
| 90.0% 32nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 12th 31.3% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 30th 0.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 9th 50.0% |
| 8.3% 6th | Pressure rate allowed | 27th 22.2% |
| 15.2% 15th | Pressure rate | 18th 14.3% |
| 14.3% 17th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 14.3% 15th | Takeaway rate | 2nd 33.3% |
| 20.0 22nd | Points per game | 25th 13.0 |
| 28.0 21st | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| +2.3% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.5% |
| 25.6 5th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 13th 28.9 |
| +0.271 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.029 |
| +0.363 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.092 |
| −1.1 26th | Special teams EPA | 16th +1.3 |
DAL offense vs SEA defense
Offense percentiles for DAL against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DALSEA D
SEA offense vs DAL defense
Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for DAL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SEADAL D