Week 13 · Sunday, Dec 6 · 1:00 pm ET · Soldier Field
TBD referee · 7 rest days (JAX) / 10 (CHI)
Model
Projected JAX 29.4 – CHI 27.3
margin −2.1 · total 56.7
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| JAX | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| +6.5 1st | Power rating | 8th +2.9 |
| +3.8 3rd | Offense rating | 2nd +4.5 |
| +2.7 7th | Defense rating | 24th −1.6 |
| +0.310 3rd | Offense EPA/play | 2nd +0.361 |
| −0.206 7th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 24th +0.130 |
| 59.3% 1st | Offense success rate | 4th 53.3% |
| 43.1% 16th | Defense success rate allowed | 22nd 47.1% |
| +0.731 1st | Pass EPA/dropback | 4th +0.551 |
| −0.257 5th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 24th +0.242 |
| −0.053 13th | Rush EPA/carry | 2nd +0.143 |
| −0.119 12th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 14th −0.106 |
| 16.7% 1st | Explosive play rate | 5th 12.0% |
| 7.8% 15th | Explosive rate allowed | 27th 11.8% |
| 55.6% 8th | 3rd-down conversion | 3rd 71.4% |
| 12.5% 1st | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 21st 44.4% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 0.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 12.5% 11th | Pressure rate allowed | 5th 7.9% |
| 30.0% 2nd | Pressure rate | 23rd 11.6% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 10th 7.1% |
| 22.2% 3rd | Takeaway rate | 13th 15.4% |
| 34.0 6th | Points per game | 1st 59.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 29th 37.0 |
| −4.3% – | Pass rate over expected | – −1.7% |
| 29.4 14th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 12th 28.6 |
| +0.310 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.361 |
| −0.206 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.130 |
| +3.0 15th | Special teams EPA | 1st +6.4 |
JAX offense vs CHI defense
Offense percentiles for JAX against the matching defensive percentiles for CHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
JAXCHI D
CHI offense vs JAX defense
Offense percentiles for CHI against the matching defensive percentiles for JAX. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CHIJAX D