Week 13 · Thursday, Dec 3 · 8:15 pm ET · SoFi Stadium (dome)
TBD referee · 7 rest days (KC) / 8 (LA)
Model
Projected KC 27.7 – LA 17.7
margin −10.0 · total 45.5
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| KC | LA | |
|---|---|---|
| +6.2 2nd | Power rating | 29th −5.2 |
| +1.4 11th | Offense rating | 28th −2.9 |
| +4.8 1st | Defense rating | 26th −2.3 |
| +0.118 11th | Offense EPA/play | 28th −0.226 |
| −0.378 1st | Defense EPA/play allowed | 26th +0.190 |
| 40.9% 22nd | Offense success rate | 16th 43.3% |
| 36.0% 4th | Defense success rate allowed | 30th 56.9% |
| −0.014 20th | Pass EPA/dropback | 29th −0.270 |
| −0.442 2nd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 22nd +0.227 |
| +0.259 1st | Rush EPA/carry | 24th −0.171 |
| −0.228 7th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 30th +0.142 |
| 9.1% 15th | Explosive play rate | 21st 6.7% |
| 2.0% 3rd | Explosive rate allowed | 13th 7.7% |
| 56.3% 7th | 3rd-down conversion | 26th 22.2% |
| 16.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 29th 58.3% |
| 60.0% 19th | Red-zone TD rate | 26th 33.3% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 30th 27.6% |
| 21.2% 8th | Pressure rate | 30th 5.6% |
| 8.3% 14th | Turnover rate | 27th 20.0% |
| 16.7% 10th | Takeaway rate | 17th 11.1% |
| 31.0 8th | Points per game | 32nd 7.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 18th 27.0 |
| +0.4% – | Pass rate over expected | – −14.8% |
| 27.6 8th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 23rd 31.8 |
| +0.118 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.226 |
| −0.378 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.190 |
| +3.3 13th | Special teams EPA | 22nd +0.1 |
KC offense vs LA defense
Offense percentiles for KC against the matching defensive percentiles for LA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
KCLA D
LA offense vs KC defense
Offense percentiles for LA against the matching defensive percentiles for KC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LAKC D