Week 13 · Sunday, Dec 6 · 4:05 pm ET · State Farm Stadium
TBD referee · 10 rest days (PHI) / 7 (ARI)
Model
Projected PHI 22.1 – ARI 27.8
margin +5.8 · total 49.9
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| PHI | ARI | |
|---|---|---|
| −0.4 17th | Power rating | 5th +3.9 |
| +0.3 16th | Offense rating | 8th +1.7 |
| −0.7 19th | Defense rating | 9th +2.2 |
| +0.027 16th | Offense EPA/play | 8th +0.139 |
| +0.059 19th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 9th −0.167 |
| 34.0% 31st | Offense success rate | 6th 48.6% |
| 42.9% 14th | Defense success rate allowed | 9th 40.0% |
| +0.136 13th | Pass EPA/dropback | 8th +0.270 |
| +0.133 19th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 10th −0.087 |
| −0.167 23rd | Rush EPA/carry | 11th −0.044 |
| −0.047 21st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 4th −0.360 |
| 9.4% 14th | Explosive play rate | 24th 5.6% |
| 4.3% 6th | Explosive rate allowed | 8th 5.5% |
| 42.9% 14th | 3rd-down conversion | 11th 46.2% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 8th 25.0% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 24th 40.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 12th 12.8% |
| 5.1% 31st | Pressure rate | 24th 11.4% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 5th 20.0% |
| 24.0 17th | Points per game | 16th 26.0 |
| 22.0 12th | Points allowed per game | 9th 14.0 |
| −5.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – −0.5% |
| 31.1 22nd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 17th 30.5 |
| +0.027 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.139 |
| +0.059 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.167 |
| +1.1 17th | Special teams EPA | 30th −3.9 |
PHI offense vs ARI defense
Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for ARI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PHIARI D
ARI offense vs PHI defense
Offense percentiles for ARI against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
ARIPHI D