Week 13 · Sunday, Dec 6 · 1:00 pm ET · MetLife Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (SF) / 7 (NYG)
Model
Projected SF 29.6 – NYG 27.1
margin −2.6 · total 56.7
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| SF | NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| +5.2 4th | Power rating | 13th +1.2 |
| +2.3 7th | Offense rating | 1st +4.5 |
| +2.9 5th | Defense rating | 28th −3.3 |
| +0.190 7th | Offense EPA/play | 1st +0.363 |
| −0.226 5th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 28th +0.271 |
| 56.9% 3rd | Offense success rate | 2nd 59.1% |
| 43.3% 17th | Defense success rate allowed | 25th 48.3% |
| +0.227 11th | Pass EPA/dropback | 2nd +0.667 |
| −0.270 4th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 28th +0.425 |
| +0.142 3rd | Rush EPA/carry | 7th +0.059 |
| −0.171 9th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 15th −0.100 |
| 7.7% 19th | Explosive play rate | 23rd 6.1% |
| 6.7% 12th | Explosive rate allowed | 1st 0.0% |
| 58.3% 4th | 3rd-down conversion | 1st 90.0% |
| 22.2% 7th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 31st 72.7% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 33.3% 4th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 5.6% 3rd | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 27.6% 3rd | Pressure rate | 27th 8.3% |
| 11.1% 16th | Turnover rate | 17th 14.3% |
| 20.0% 5th | Takeaway rate | 15th 14.3% |
| 27.0 13th | Points per game | 12th 28.0 |
| 7.0 1st | Points allowed per game | 10th 20.0 |
| +5.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.3% |
| 32.7 25th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 11th 28.5 |
| +0.190 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.363 |
| −0.226 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.271 |
| −0.7 25th | Special teams EPA | 20th +0.6 |
SF offense vs NYG defense
Offense percentiles for SF against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SFNYG D
NYG offense vs SF defense
Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for SF. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYGSF D