Week 13 · Sunday, Dec 6 · 1:00 pm ET · Nissan Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (WAS) / 7 (TEN)
Model
Projected WAS 26.2 – TEN 23.9
margin −2.3 · total 50.1
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| WAS | TEN | |
|---|---|---|
| +0.4 16th | Power rating | 27th −3.4 |
| +0.7 14th | Offense rating | 23rd −1.8 |
| −0.3 17th | Defense rating | 23rd −1.5 |
| +0.059 14th | Offense EPA/play | 23rd −0.141 |
| +0.027 17th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 23rd +0.127 |
| 42.9% 19th | Offense success rate | 14th 44.0% |
| 34.0% 2nd | Defense success rate allowed | 26th 48.4% |
| +0.133 14th | Pass EPA/dropback | 24th −0.152 |
| +0.136 20th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 27th +0.338 |
| −0.047 12th | Rush EPA/carry | 17th −0.096 |
| −0.167 10th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 23rd −0.038 |
| 4.3% 27th | Explosive play rate | 28th 4.0% |
| 9.4% 19th | Explosive rate allowed | 24th 10.9% |
| 33.3% 18th | 3rd-down conversion | 18th 33.3% |
| 42.9% 19th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 4th 18.2% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 66.7% 14th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 5.1% 2nd | Pressure rate allowed | 19th 15.4% |
| 15.2% 15th | Pressure rate | 32nd 3.9% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 22.0 20th | Points per game | 28th 10.0 |
| 24.0 16th | Points allowed per game | 14th 23.0 |
| −4.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – +5.8% |
| 28.3 10th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 7th 27.3 |
| +0.059 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.141 |
| +0.027 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.127 |
| +0.2 21st | Special teams EPA | 32nd −5.1 |
WAS offense vs TEN defense
Offense percentiles for WAS against the matching defensive percentiles for TEN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
WASTEN D
TEN offense vs WAS defense
Offense percentiles for TEN against the matching defensive percentiles for WAS. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
TENWAS D