Week 14 · Sunday, Dec 13 · 1:00 pm ET · Huntington Bank Field
TBD referee · 7 rest days (ATL) / 7 (CLE)
Model
Projected ATL 23.2 – CLE 19.6
margin −3.7 · total 42.8
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| ATL | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| −1.3 21st | Power rating | 32nd −6.5 |
| −4.6 31st | Offense rating | 26th −2.7 |
| +3.2 3rd | Defense rating | 30th −3.8 |
| −0.358 31st | Offense EPA/play | 26th −0.206 |
| −0.252 3rd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 30th +0.310 |
| 36.7% 28th | Offense success rate | 17th 43.1% |
| 33.9% 1st | Defense success rate allowed | 32nd 59.3% |
| −0.638 32nd | Pass EPA/dropback | 28th −0.257 |
| −0.251 6th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 32nd +0.731 |
| −0.113 20th | Rush EPA/carry | 21st −0.119 |
| −0.252 6th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 20th −0.053 |
| 10.0% 13th | Explosive play rate | 18th 7.8% |
| 6.2% 11th | Explosive rate allowed | 32nd 16.7% |
| 16.7% 30th | 3rd-down conversion | 32nd 12.5% |
| 25.0% 8th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 25th 55.6% |
| – – | Red-zone TD rate | 30th 0.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 19.2% 23rd | Pressure rate allowed | 31st 30.0% |
| 14.0% 20th | Pressure rate | 22nd 12.5% |
| 15.4% 19th | Turnover rate | 30th 22.2% |
| 7.1% 22nd | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 13.0 25th | Points per game | 28th 10.0 |
| 20.0 10th | Points allowed per game | 27th 34.0 |
| −17.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – −9.7% |
| 30.7 18th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 32nd 38.8 |
| −0.358 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.206 |
| −0.252 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.310 |
| −2.3 28th | Special teams EPA | 2nd +6.1 |
ATL offense vs CLE defense
Offense percentiles for ATL against the matching defensive percentiles for CLE. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
ATLCLE D
CLE offense vs ATL defense
Offense percentiles for CLE against the matching defensive percentiles for ATL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CLEATL D