Week 14 · Sunday, Dec 13 · 1:00 pm ET · MetLife Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (DEN) / 14 (NYJ)
Model
Projected DEN 17.3 – NYJ 28.4
margin +11.1 · total 45.7
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| DEN | NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| −6.2 31st | Power rating | 6th +3.4 |
| −4.8 32nd | Offense rating | 10th +1.5 |
| −1.4 22nd | Defense rating | 10th +1.8 |
| −0.378 32nd | Offense EPA/play | 10th +0.127 |
| +0.118 22nd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 10th −0.141 |
| 36.0% 29th | Offense success rate | 7th 48.4% |
| 40.9% 11th | Defense success rate allowed | 19th 44.0% |
| −0.442 31st | Pass EPA/dropback | 6th +0.338 |
| −0.014 13th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 9th −0.152 |
| −0.228 26th | Rush EPA/carry | 10th −0.038 |
| +0.259 32nd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 16th −0.096 |
| 2.0% 30th | Explosive play rate | 8th 10.9% |
| 9.1% 18th | Explosive rate allowed | 5th 4.0% |
| 16.7% 30th | 3rd-down conversion | 28th 18.2% |
| 56.3% 26th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 13th 33.3% |
| 50.0% 20th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 60.0% 13th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 21.2% 25th | Pressure rate allowed | 1st 3.9% |
| 15.2% 15th | Pressure rate | 14th 15.4% |
| 16.7% 21st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 8.3% 19th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 10.0 28th | Points per game | 18th 23.0 |
| 31.0 23rd | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| +1.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – −8.9% |
| 33.5 27th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 28th 34.3 |
| −0.378 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.127 |
| +0.118 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.141 |
| +3.6 10th | Special teams EPA | 11th +3.5 |
DEN offense vs NYJ defense
Offense percentiles for DEN against the matching defensive percentiles for NYJ. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DENNYJ D
NYJ offense vs DEN defense
Offense percentiles for NYJ against the matching defensive percentiles for DEN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYJDEN D