Week 14 · Sunday, Dec 13 · 1:00 pm ET · Lincoln Financial Field
TBD referee · 14 rest days (IND) / 7 (PHI)
Model
Projected IND 21.7 – PHI 28.3
margin +6.6 · total 50.1
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| IND | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| −5.5 30th | Power rating | 17th −0.4 |
| −2.9 27th | Offense rating | 16th +0.3 |
| −2.6 27th | Defense rating | 19th −0.7 |
| −0.225 27th | Offense EPA/play | 16th +0.027 |
| +0.209 27th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 19th +0.059 |
| 42.6% 20th | Offense success rate | 31st 34.0% |
| 46.9% 21st | Defense success rate allowed | 14th 42.9% |
| −0.410 30th | Pass EPA/dropback | 13th +0.136 |
| +0.316 26th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 19th +0.133 |
| +0.116 5th | Rush EPA/carry | 23rd −0.167 |
| +0.102 27th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 21st −0.047 |
| 13.0% 4th | Explosive play rate | 14th 9.4% |
| 10.9% 24th | Explosive rate allowed | 6th 4.3% |
| 30.0% 22nd | 3rd-down conversion | 14th 42.9% |
| 37.5% 16th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 13th 33.3% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 75.0% 18th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 26.5% 29th | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 10.3% 25th | Pressure rate | 31st 5.1% |
| 16.7% 21st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 7.7% 20th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 23.0 18th | Points per game | 17th 24.0 |
| 41.0 31st | Points allowed per game | 12th 22.0 |
| −4.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.5% |
| 35.7 30th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 22nd 31.1 |
| −0.225 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.027 |
| +0.209 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.059 |
| +4.4 8th | Special teams EPA | 17th +1.1 |
IND offense vs PHI defense
Offense percentiles for IND against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
INDPHI D
PHI offense vs IND defense
Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for IND. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PHIIND D