Week 14 · Sunday, Dec 13 · 4:05 pm ET · Allegiant Stadium (dome)
TBD referee · 7 rest days (LAC) / 14 (LV)
Model
Projected LAC 18.7 – LV 26.7
margin +8.0 · total 45.4
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| LAC | LV | |
|---|---|---|
| −3.9 28th | Power rating | 9th +2.7 |
| −2.2 24th | Offense rating | 20th −0.4 |
| −1.7 25th | Defense rating | 4th +3.1 |
| −0.167 24th | Offense EPA/play | 20th −0.029 |
| +0.139 25th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 4th −0.242 |
| 40.0% 24th | Offense success rate | 18th 43.1% |
| 48.6% 27th | Defense success rate allowed | 3rd 34.6% |
| −0.087 23rd | Pass EPA/dropback | 18th +0.027 |
| +0.270 25th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 7th −0.183 |
| −0.360 29th | Rush EPA/carry | 16th −0.083 |
| −0.044 22nd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 3rd −0.399 |
| 5.5% 25th | Explosive play rate | 19th 7.7% |
| 5.6% 9th | Explosive rate allowed | 23rd 10.9% |
| 25.0% 23rd | 3rd-down conversion | 15th 41.7% |
| 46.2% 22nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 6th 20.0% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 13th 75.0% |
| 40.0% 7th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 4th 33.3% |
| 11.4% 9th | Pressure rate allowed | 4th 6.5% |
| 12.8% 21st | Pressure rate | 5th 24.3% |
| 20.0% 27th | Turnover rate | 24th 18.2% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 7th 18.2% |
| 14.0 24th | Points per game | 13th 27.0 |
| 26.0 17th | Points allowed per game | 6th 13.0 |
| +0.3% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.6% |
| 29.9 16th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 31st 36.5 |
| −0.167 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.029 |
| +0.139 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.242 |
| −4.3 31st | Special teams EPA | 5th +5.0 |
LAC offense vs LV defense
Offense percentiles for LAC against the matching defensive percentiles for LV. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LACLV D
LV offense vs LAC defense
Offense percentiles for LV against the matching defensive percentiles for LAC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LVLAC D