Week 14 · Sunday, Dec 13 · 4:25 pm ET · Levi's Stadium
TBD referee · 10 rest days (LA) / 7 (SF)
Model
Projected LA 18.2 – SF 30.1
margin +12.0 · total 48.3
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| LA | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| −5.2 29th | Power rating | 4th +5.2 |
| −2.9 28th | Offense rating | 7th +2.3 |
| −2.3 26th | Defense rating | 5th +2.9 |
| −0.226 28th | Offense EPA/play | 7th +0.190 |
| +0.190 26th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 5th −0.226 |
| 43.3% 16th | Offense success rate | 3rd 56.9% |
| 56.9% 30th | Defense success rate allowed | 17th 43.3% |
| −0.270 29th | Pass EPA/dropback | 11th +0.227 |
| +0.227 22nd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 4th −0.270 |
| −0.171 24th | Rush EPA/carry | 3rd +0.142 |
| +0.142 30th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 9th −0.171 |
| 6.7% 21st | Explosive play rate | 19th 7.7% |
| 7.7% 13th | Explosive rate allowed | 12th 6.7% |
| 22.2% 26th | 3rd-down conversion | 4th 58.3% |
| 58.3% 29th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 7th 22.2% |
| 33.3% 26th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 66.7% 14th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 4th 33.3% |
| 27.6% 30th | Pressure rate allowed | 3rd 5.6% |
| 5.6% 30th | Pressure rate | 3rd 27.6% |
| 20.0% 27th | Turnover rate | 16th 11.1% |
| 11.1% 17th | Takeaway rate | 5th 20.0% |
| 7.0 32nd | Points per game | 13th 27.0 |
| 27.0 18th | Points allowed per game | 1st 7.0 |
| −14.8% – | Pass rate over expected | – +5.1% |
| 31.8 23rd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 25th 32.7 |
| −0.226 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.190 |
| +0.190 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.226 |
| +0.1 22nd | Special teams EPA | 25th −0.7 |
LA offense vs SF defense
Offense percentiles for LA against the matching defensive percentiles for SF. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LASF D
SF offense vs LA defense
Offense percentiles for SF against the matching defensive percentiles for LA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SFLA D