NFLStats2026 · Wk 2

Week 14 · Sunday, Dec 13 · 4:25 pm ET · Lumen Field

TBD referee · 7 rest days (NYG) / 6 (SEA)

Model

45%NYG55%SEA

Projected NYG 27.2 – SEA 29.1
margin +1.9 · total 56.4

Market

No market line yet.

Edge

Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.

Spread edge
Total edge

Side by side

Season to date with league ranks.

NYGSEA
+1.2 13thPower rating11th +1.5
+4.5 1stOffense rating15th +0.3
−3.3 28thDefense rating11th +1.2
+0.363 1stOffense EPA/play15th +0.029
+0.271 28thDefense EPA/play allowed11th −0.092
59.1% 2ndOffense success rate25th 38.8%
48.3% 25thDefense success rate allowed10th 40.9%
+0.667 2ndPass EPA/dropback12th +0.196
+0.425 28thPass EPA/dropback allowed18th +0.127
+0.059 7thRush EPA/carry25th −0.195
−0.100 15thRush EPA/carry allowed1st −0.451
6.1% 23rdExplosive play rate12th 10.2%
0.0% 1stExplosive rate allowed2nd 1.4%
90.0% 1st3rd-down conversion28th 18.2%
72.7% 31st3rd-down conversion allowed12th 31.3%
100.0% 1stRed-zone TD rate30th 0.0%
100.0% 23rdRed-zone TD rate allowed9th 50.0%
15.2% 16thPressure rate allowed27th 22.2%
8.3% 27thPressure rate18th 14.3%
14.3% 17thTurnover rate1st 0.0%
14.3% 15thTakeaway rate2nd 33.3%
28.0 12thPoints per game25th 13.0
20.0 10thPoints allowed per game2nd 10.0
−4.3% Pass rate over expected −5.5%
28.5 11thNeutral pace (sec/play)13th 28.9
+0.363 Off epa last3 +0.029
+0.271 Def epa last3 −0.092
+0.6 20thSpecial teams EPA16th +1.3

NYG offense vs SEA defense

Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
NYGSEA D

SEA offense vs NYG defense

Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
SEANYG D