Week 14 · Monday, Dec 14 · 8:15 pm ET · EverBank Stadium
TBD referee · 8 rest days (PIT) / 8 (JAX)
Model
Projected PIT 18.1 – JAX 24.7
margin +6.7 · total 42.8
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| PIT | JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.3 12th | Power rating | 1st +6.5 |
| −3.2 30th | Offense rating | 3rd +3.8 |
| +4.6 2nd | Defense rating | 7th +2.7 |
| −0.252 30th | Offense EPA/play | 3rd +0.310 |
| −0.358 2nd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 7th −0.206 |
| 33.9% 32nd | Offense success rate | 1st 59.3% |
| 36.7% 5th | Defense success rate allowed | 16th 43.1% |
| −0.251 27th | Pass EPA/dropback | 1st +0.731 |
| −0.638 1st | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 5th −0.257 |
| −0.252 27th | Rush EPA/carry | 13th −0.053 |
| −0.113 13th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 12th −0.119 |
| 6.2% 22nd | Explosive play rate | 1st 16.7% |
| 10.0% 20th | Explosive rate allowed | 15th 7.8% |
| 25.0% 23rd | 3rd-down conversion | 8th 55.6% |
| 16.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 1st 12.5% |
| 50.0% 20th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| – – | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 1st 0.0% |
| 14.0% 13th | Pressure rate allowed | 11th 12.5% |
| 19.2% 10th | Pressure rate | 2nd 30.0% |
| 7.1% 10th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 15.4% 13th | Takeaway rate | 3rd 22.2% |
| 20.0 22nd | Points per game | 6th 34.0 |
| 13.0 6th | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| +11.2% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.3% |
| 25.7 6th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 14th 29.4 |
| −0.252 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.310 |
| −0.358 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.206 |
| +0.8 19th | Special teams EPA | 15th +3.0 |
PIT offense vs JAX defense
Offense percentiles for PIT against the matching defensive percentiles for JAX. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PITJAX D
JAX offense vs PIT defense
Offense percentiles for JAX against the matching defensive percentiles for PIT. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
JAXPIT D