Week 15 · Sunday, Dec 20 · 1:00 pm ET · Northwest Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (ATL) / 7 (WAS)
Model
Projected ATL 19.7 – WAS 22.9
margin +3.2 · total 42.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| ATL | WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| −1.3 21st | Power rating | 16th +0.4 |
| −4.6 31st | Offense rating | 14th +0.7 |
| +3.2 3rd | Defense rating | 17th −0.3 |
| −0.358 31st | Offense EPA/play | 14th +0.059 |
| −0.252 3rd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 17th +0.027 |
| 36.7% 28th | Offense success rate | 19th 42.9% |
| 33.9% 1st | Defense success rate allowed | 2nd 34.0% |
| −0.638 32nd | Pass EPA/dropback | 14th +0.133 |
| −0.251 6th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 20th +0.136 |
| −0.113 20th | Rush EPA/carry | 12th −0.047 |
| −0.252 6th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 10th −0.167 |
| 10.0% 13th | Explosive play rate | 27th 4.3% |
| 6.2% 11th | Explosive rate allowed | 19th 9.4% |
| 16.7% 30th | 3rd-down conversion | 18th 33.3% |
| 25.0% 8th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 19th 42.9% |
| – – | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 19.2% 23rd | Pressure rate allowed | 2nd 5.1% |
| 14.0% 20th | Pressure rate | 15th 15.2% |
| 15.4% 19th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 7.1% 22nd | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 13.0 25th | Points per game | 20th 22.0 |
| 20.0 10th | Points allowed per game | 16th 24.0 |
| −17.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.7% |
| 30.7 18th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 10th 28.3 |
| −0.358 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.059 |
| −0.252 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.027 |
| −2.3 28th | Special teams EPA | 21st +0.2 |
ATL offense vs WAS defense
Offense percentiles for ATL against the matching defensive percentiles for WAS. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
ATLWAS D
WAS offense vs ATL defense
Offense percentiles for WAS against the matching defensive percentiles for ATL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
WASATL D