Week 15 · Sunday, Dec 20 · 1:00 pm ET · Bank of America Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (CIN) / 7 (CAR)
Model
Projected CIN 28.4 – CAR 25.9
margin −2.5 · total 54.3
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| CIN | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.0 14th | Power rating | 25th −2.9 |
| −0.0 18th | Offense rating | 9th +1.6 |
| +1.1 12th | Defense rating | 31st −4.5 |
| +0.001 18th | Offense EPA/play | 9th +0.130 |
| −0.081 12th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 31st +0.361 |
| 47.6% 10th | Offense success rate | 11th 47.1% |
| 51.8% 28th | Defense success rate allowed | 29th 53.3% |
| −0.030 21st | Pass EPA/dropback | 9th +0.242 |
| −0.168 8th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 29th +0.551 |
| +0.050 8th | Rush EPA/carry | 19th −0.106 |
| +0.118 29th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 31st +0.143 |
| 11.1% 7th | Explosive play rate | 6th 11.8% |
| 5.4% 7th | Explosive rate allowed | 28th 12.0% |
| 57.1% 5th | 3rd-down conversion | 12th 44.4% |
| 50.0% 24th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 30th 71.4% |
| 40.0% 24th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 16.2% 21st | Pressure rate allowed | 10th 11.6% |
| 16.7% 11th | Pressure rate | 28th 7.9% |
| 10.0% 15th | Turnover rate | 19th 15.4% |
| 40.0% 1st | Takeaway rate | 22nd 7.1% |
| 33.0 7th | Points per game | 4th 37.0 |
| 27.0 18th | Points allowed per game | 32nd 59.0 |
| +5.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – +3.1% |
| 23.1 3rd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 4th 24.7 |
| +0.001 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.130 |
| −0.081 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.361 |
| +5.6 3rd | Special teams EPA | 24th −0.5 |
CIN offense vs CAR defense
Offense percentiles for CIN against the matching defensive percentiles for CAR. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CINCAR D
CAR offense vs CIN defense
Offense percentiles for CAR against the matching defensive percentiles for CIN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CARCIN D