Week 15 · Sunday, Dec 20 · 1:00 pm ET · MetLife Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (CLE) / 7 (NYG)
Model
Projected CLE 24.7 – NYG 33.8
margin +9.2 · total 58.5
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| CLE | NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| −6.5 32nd | Power rating | 13th +1.2 |
| −2.7 26th | Offense rating | 1st +4.5 |
| −3.8 30th | Defense rating | 28th −3.3 |
| −0.206 26th | Offense EPA/play | 1st +0.363 |
| +0.310 30th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 28th +0.271 |
| 43.1% 17th | Offense success rate | 2nd 59.1% |
| 59.3% 32nd | Defense success rate allowed | 25th 48.3% |
| −0.257 28th | Pass EPA/dropback | 2nd +0.667 |
| +0.731 32nd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 28th +0.425 |
| −0.119 21st | Rush EPA/carry | 7th +0.059 |
| −0.053 20th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 15th −0.100 |
| 7.8% 18th | Explosive play rate | 23rd 6.1% |
| 16.7% 32nd | Explosive rate allowed | 1st 0.0% |
| 12.5% 32nd | 3rd-down conversion | 1st 90.0% |
| 55.6% 25th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 31st 72.7% |
| 0.0% 30th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 30.0% 31st | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 12.5% 22nd | Pressure rate | 27th 8.3% |
| 22.2% 30th | Turnover rate | 17th 14.3% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 15th 14.3% |
| 10.0 28th | Points per game | 12th 28.0 |
| 34.0 27th | Points allowed per game | 10th 20.0 |
| −9.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.3% |
| 38.8 32nd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 11th 28.5 |
| −0.206 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.363 |
| +0.310 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.271 |
| +6.1 2nd | Special teams EPA | 20th +0.6 |
CLE offense vs NYG defense
Offense percentiles for CLE against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CLENYG D
NYG offense vs CLE defense
Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for CLE. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYGCLE D