Week 15 · Sunday, Dec 20 · 4:05 pm ET · State Farm Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (NYJ) / 14 (ARI)
Model
Projected NYJ 23.3 – ARI 25.3
margin +2.0 · total 48.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| NYJ | ARI | |
|---|---|---|
| +3.4 6th | Power rating | 5th +3.9 |
| +1.5 10th | Offense rating | 8th +1.7 |
| +1.8 10th | Defense rating | 9th +2.2 |
| +0.127 10th | Offense EPA/play | 8th +0.139 |
| −0.141 10th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 9th −0.167 |
| 48.4% 7th | Offense success rate | 6th 48.6% |
| 44.0% 19th | Defense success rate allowed | 9th 40.0% |
| +0.338 6th | Pass EPA/dropback | 8th +0.270 |
| −0.152 9th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 10th −0.087 |
| −0.038 10th | Rush EPA/carry | 11th −0.044 |
| −0.096 16th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 4th −0.360 |
| 10.9% 8th | Explosive play rate | 24th 5.6% |
| 4.0% 5th | Explosive rate allowed | 8th 5.5% |
| 18.2% 28th | 3rd-down conversion | 11th 46.2% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 8th 25.0% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 24th 40.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 3.9% 1st | Pressure rate allowed | 12th 12.8% |
| 15.4% 14th | Pressure rate | 24th 11.4% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 5th 20.0% |
| 23.0 18th | Points per game | 16th 26.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 9th 14.0 |
| −8.9% – | Pass rate over expected | – −0.5% |
| 34.3 28th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 17th 30.5 |
| +0.127 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.139 |
| −0.141 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.167 |
| +3.5 11th | Special teams EPA | 30th −3.9 |
NYJ offense vs ARI defense
Offense percentiles for NYJ against the matching defensive percentiles for ARI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYJARI D
ARI offense vs NYJ defense
Offense percentiles for ARI against the matching defensive percentiles for NYJ. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
ARINYJ D