Week 15 · Saturday, Dec 19 · 5:00 pm ET · Lincoln Financial Field
TBD referee · 6 rest days (SEA) / 6 (PHI)
Model
Projected SEA 24.9 – PHI 24.5
margin −0.4 · total 49.5
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| SEA | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.5 11th | Power rating | 17th −0.4 |
| +0.3 15th | Offense rating | 16th +0.3 |
| +1.2 11th | Defense rating | 19th −0.7 |
| +0.029 15th | Offense EPA/play | 16th +0.027 |
| −0.092 11th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 19th +0.059 |
| 38.8% 25th | Offense success rate | 31st 34.0% |
| 40.9% 10th | Defense success rate allowed | 14th 42.9% |
| +0.196 12th | Pass EPA/dropback | 13th +0.136 |
| +0.127 18th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 19th +0.133 |
| −0.195 25th | Rush EPA/carry | 23rd −0.167 |
| −0.451 1st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 21st −0.047 |
| 10.2% 12th | Explosive play rate | 14th 9.4% |
| 1.4% 2nd | Explosive rate allowed | 6th 4.3% |
| 18.2% 28th | 3rd-down conversion | 14th 42.9% |
| 31.3% 12th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 13th 33.3% |
| 0.0% 30th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 22.2% 27th | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 14.3% 18th | Pressure rate | 31st 5.1% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 33.3% 2nd | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 13.0 25th | Points per game | 17th 24.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 12th 22.0 |
| −5.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – −5.5% |
| 28.9 13th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 22nd 31.1 |
| +0.029 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.027 |
| −0.092 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.059 |
| +1.3 16th | Special teams EPA | 17th +1.1 |
SEA offense vs PHI defense
Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SEAPHI D
PHI offense vs SEA defense
Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PHISEA D