Week 16 · Sunday, Dec 27 · 1:00 pm ET · Lucas Oil Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (CIN) / 7 (IND)
Model
Projected CIN 26.5 – IND 21.5
margin −5.0 · total 48.0
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| CIN | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.0 14th | Power rating | 30th −5.5 |
| −0.0 18th | Offense rating | 27th −2.9 |
| +1.1 12th | Defense rating | 27th −2.6 |
| +0.001 18th | Offense EPA/play | 27th −0.225 |
| −0.081 12th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 27th +0.209 |
| 47.6% 10th | Offense success rate | 20th 42.6% |
| 51.8% 28th | Defense success rate allowed | 21st 46.9% |
| −0.030 21st | Pass EPA/dropback | 30th −0.410 |
| −0.168 8th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 26th +0.316 |
| +0.050 8th | Rush EPA/carry | 5th +0.116 |
| +0.118 29th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 27th +0.102 |
| 11.1% 7th | Explosive play rate | 4th 13.0% |
| 5.4% 7th | Explosive rate allowed | 24th 10.9% |
| 57.1% 5th | 3rd-down conversion | 22nd 30.0% |
| 50.0% 24th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 16th 37.5% |
| 40.0% 24th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 18th 75.0% |
| 16.2% 21st | Pressure rate allowed | 29th 26.5% |
| 16.7% 11th | Pressure rate | 25th 10.3% |
| 10.0% 15th | Turnover rate | 21st 16.7% |
| 40.0% 1st | Takeaway rate | 20th 7.7% |
| 33.0 7th | Points per game | 18th 23.0 |
| 27.0 18th | Points allowed per game | 31st 41.0 |
| +5.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.1% |
| 23.1 3rd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 30th 35.7 |
| +0.001 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.225 |
| −0.081 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.209 |
| +5.6 3rd | Special teams EPA | 8th +4.4 |
CIN offense vs IND defense
Offense percentiles for CIN against the matching defensive percentiles for IND. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CININD D
IND offense vs CIN defense
Offense percentiles for IND against the matching defensive percentiles for CIN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
INDCIN D