Week 16 · Monday, Dec 28 · 8:15 pm ET · Ford Field (dome)
TBD referee · 8 rest days (NYG) / 8 (DET)
Model
Projected NYG 28.6 – DET 28.4
margin −0.2 · total 57.1
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| NYG | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.2 13th | Power rating | 18th −0.6 |
| +4.5 1st | Offense rating | 19th −0.4 |
| −3.3 28th | Defense rating | 16th −0.2 |
| +0.363 1st | Offense EPA/play | 19th −0.027 |
| +0.271 28th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 16th +0.019 |
| 59.1% 2nd | Offense success rate | 13th 45.5% |
| 48.3% 25th | Defense success rate allowed | 18th 43.8% |
| +0.667 2nd | Pass EPA/dropback | 19th +0.012 |
| +0.425 28th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 16th +0.052 |
| +0.059 7th | Rush EPA/carry | 14th −0.072 |
| −0.100 15th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 18th −0.075 |
| 6.1% 23rd | Explosive play rate | 11th 10.4% |
| 0.0% 1st | Explosive rate allowed | 17th 9.0% |
| 90.0% 1st | 3rd-down conversion | 16th 38.5% |
| 72.7% 31st | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 23rd 47.1% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 10th 80.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 20th 80.0% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 24th 19.5% |
| 8.3% 27th | Pressure rate | 18th 14.3% |
| 14.3% 17th | Turnover rate | 9th 6.7% |
| 14.3% 15th | Takeaway rate | 4th 21.4% |
| 28.0 12th | Points per game | 8th 31.0 |
| 20.0 10th | Points allowed per game | 22nd 30.0 |
| −4.3% – | Pass rate over expected | – −2.4% |
| 28.5 11th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 20th 31.1 |
| +0.363 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.027 |
| +0.271 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.019 |
| +0.6 20th | Special teams EPA | 23rd +0.1 |
NYG offense vs DET defense
Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for DET. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYGDET D
DET offense vs NYG defense
Offense percentiles for DET against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DETNYG D