Week 16 · Sunday, Dec 27 · 1:00 pm ET · U.S. Bank Stadium (dome)
TBD referee · 7 rest days (WAS) / 7 (MIN)
Model
Projected WAS 22.3 – MIN 26.6
margin +4.3 · total 48.9
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| WAS | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| +0.4 16th | Power rating | 7th +3.2 |
| +0.7 14th | Offense rating | 12th +0.8 |
| −0.3 17th | Defense rating | 8th +2.4 |
| +0.059 14th | Offense EPA/play | 12th +0.071 |
| +0.027 17th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 8th −0.181 |
| 42.9% 19th | Offense success rate | 26th 38.7% |
| 34.0% 2nd | Defense success rate allowed | 6th 38.2% |
| +0.133 14th | Pass EPA/dropback | 10th +0.233 |
| +0.136 20th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 11th −0.059 |
| −0.047 12th | Rush EPA/carry | 22nd −0.125 |
| −0.167 10th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 2nd −0.438 |
| 4.3% 27th | Explosive play rate | 29th 3.2% |
| 9.4% 19th | Explosive rate allowed | 30th 13.2% |
| 33.3% 18th | 3rd-down conversion | 5th 57.1% |
| 42.9% 19th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 8th 25.0% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 66.7% 14th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 3rd 25.0% |
| 5.1% 2nd | Pressure rate allowed | 20th 16.1% |
| 15.2% 15th | Pressure rate | 1st 32.6% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 12th 7.7% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 10th 16.7% |
| 22.0 20th | Points per game | 3rd 39.0 |
| 24.0 16th | Points allowed per game | 12th 22.0 |
| −4.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – −8.0% |
| 28.3 10th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 26th 32.7 |
| +0.059 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.071 |
| +0.027 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.181 |
| +0.2 21st | Special teams EPA | 14th +3.0 |
WAS offense vs MIN defense
Offense percentiles for WAS against the matching defensive percentiles for MIN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
WASMIN D
MIN offense vs WAS defense
Offense percentiles for MIN against the matching defensive percentiles for WAS. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
MINWAS D