Week 17 · Sunday, Jan 3 · 1:00 pm ET · SoFi Stadium (dome)
TBD referee · 7 rest days (KC) / 7 (LAC)
Model
Projected KC 27.1 – LAC 18.5
margin −8.6 · total 45.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| KC | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| +6.2 2nd | Power rating | 28th −3.9 |
| +1.4 11th | Offense rating | 24th −2.2 |
| +4.8 1st | Defense rating | 25th −1.7 |
| +0.118 11th | Offense EPA/play | 24th −0.167 |
| −0.378 1st | Defense EPA/play allowed | 25th +0.139 |
| 40.9% 22nd | Offense success rate | 24th 40.0% |
| 36.0% 4th | Defense success rate allowed | 27th 48.6% |
| −0.014 20th | Pass EPA/dropback | 23rd −0.087 |
| −0.442 2nd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 25th +0.270 |
| +0.259 1st | Rush EPA/carry | 29th −0.360 |
| −0.228 7th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 22nd −0.044 |
| 9.1% 15th | Explosive play rate | 25th 5.5% |
| 2.0% 3rd | Explosive rate allowed | 9th 5.6% |
| 56.3% 7th | 3rd-down conversion | 23rd 25.0% |
| 16.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 22nd 46.2% |
| 60.0% 19th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 7th 40.0% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 9th 11.4% |
| 21.2% 8th | Pressure rate | 21st 12.8% |
| 8.3% 14th | Turnover rate | 27th 20.0% |
| 16.7% 10th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 31.0 8th | Points per game | 24th 14.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 17th 26.0 |
| +0.4% – | Pass rate over expected | – +0.3% |
| 27.6 8th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 16th 29.9 |
| +0.118 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.167 |
| −0.378 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.139 |
| +3.3 13th | Special teams EPA | 31st −4.3 |
KC offense vs LAC defense
Offense percentiles for KC against the matching defensive percentiles for LAC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
KCLAC D
LAC offense vs KC defense
Offense percentiles for LAC against the matching defensive percentiles for KC. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LACKC D