Week 17 · Sunday, Jan 3 · 4:05 pm ET · State Farm Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (LV) / 7 (ARI)
Model
Projected LV 21.4 – ARI 24.0
margin +2.7 · total 45.4
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| LV | ARI | |
|---|---|---|
| +2.7 9th | Power rating | 5th +3.9 |
| −0.4 20th | Offense rating | 8th +1.7 |
| +3.1 4th | Defense rating | 9th +2.2 |
| −0.029 20th | Offense EPA/play | 8th +0.139 |
| −0.242 4th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 9th −0.167 |
| 43.1% 18th | Offense success rate | 6th 48.6% |
| 34.6% 3rd | Defense success rate allowed | 9th 40.0% |
| +0.027 18th | Pass EPA/dropback | 8th +0.270 |
| −0.183 7th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 10th −0.087 |
| −0.083 16th | Rush EPA/carry | 11th −0.044 |
| −0.399 3rd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 4th −0.360 |
| 7.7% 19th | Explosive play rate | 24th 5.6% |
| 10.9% 23rd | Explosive rate allowed | 8th 5.5% |
| 41.7% 15th | 3rd-down conversion | 11th 46.2% |
| 20.0% 6th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 8th 25.0% |
| 75.0% 13th | Red-zone TD rate | 24th 40.0% |
| 33.3% 4th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 6.5% 4th | Pressure rate allowed | 12th 12.8% |
| 24.3% 5th | Pressure rate | 24th 11.4% |
| 18.2% 24th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 18.2% 7th | Takeaway rate | 5th 20.0% |
| 27.0 13th | Points per game | 16th 26.0 |
| 13.0 6th | Points allowed per game | 9th 14.0 |
| −5.6% – | Pass rate over expected | – −0.5% |
| 36.5 31st | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 17th 30.5 |
| −0.029 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.139 |
| −0.242 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.167 |
| +5.0 5th | Special teams EPA | 30th −3.9 |
LV offense vs ARI defense
Offense percentiles for LV against the matching defensive percentiles for ARI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
LVARI D
ARI offense vs LV defense
Offense percentiles for ARI against the matching defensive percentiles for LV. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
ARILV D