Week 17 · Sunday, Jan 3 · 1:00 pm ET · MetLife Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (MIN) / 7 (NYJ)
Model
Projected MIN 23.0 – NYJ 24.6
margin +1.7 · total 47.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| MIN | NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| +3.2 7th | Power rating | 6th +3.4 |
| +0.8 12th | Offense rating | 10th +1.5 |
| +2.4 8th | Defense rating | 10th +1.8 |
| +0.071 12th | Offense EPA/play | 10th +0.127 |
| −0.181 8th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 10th −0.141 |
| 38.7% 26th | Offense success rate | 7th 48.4% |
| 38.2% 6th | Defense success rate allowed | 19th 44.0% |
| +0.233 10th | Pass EPA/dropback | 6th +0.338 |
| −0.059 11th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 9th −0.152 |
| −0.125 22nd | Rush EPA/carry | 10th −0.038 |
| −0.438 2nd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 16th −0.096 |
| 3.2% 29th | Explosive play rate | 8th 10.9% |
| 13.2% 30th | Explosive rate allowed | 5th 4.0% |
| 57.1% 5th | 3rd-down conversion | 28th 18.2% |
| 25.0% 8th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 13th 33.3% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 25.0% 3rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 16.1% 20th | Pressure rate allowed | 1st 3.9% |
| 32.6% 1st | Pressure rate | 14th 15.4% |
| 7.7% 12th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 16.7% 10th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 39.0 3rd | Points per game | 18th 23.0 |
| 22.0 12th | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| −8.0% – | Pass rate over expected | – −8.9% |
| 32.7 26th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 28th 34.3 |
| +0.071 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.127 |
| −0.181 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.141 |
| +3.0 14th | Special teams EPA | 11th +3.5 |
MIN offense vs NYJ defense
Offense percentiles for MIN against the matching defensive percentiles for NYJ. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
MINNYJ D
NYJ offense vs MIN defense
Offense percentiles for NYJ against the matching defensive percentiles for MIN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYJMIN D