NFLStats2026 · Wk 2

Week 17 · Sunday, Jan 3 · 1:00 pm ET · AT&T Stadium

TBD referee · 6 rest days (NYG) / 7 (DAL)

Model

52%NYG48%DAL

Projected NYG 33.0 – DAL 32.2
margin −0.8 · total 65.1

Market

No market line yet.

Edge

Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.

Spread edge
Total edge

Side by side

Season to date with league ranks.

NYGDAL
+1.2 13thPower rating20th −1.2
+4.5 1stOffense rating5th +3.3
−3.3 28thDefense rating32nd −4.5
+0.363 1stOffense EPA/play5th +0.271
+0.271 28thDefense EPA/play allowed32nd +0.363
59.1% 2ndOffense success rate8th 48.3%
48.3% 25thDefense success rate allowed31st 59.1%
+0.667 2ndPass EPA/dropback5th +0.425
+0.425 28thPass EPA/dropback allowed31st +0.667
+0.059 7thRush EPA/carry18th −0.100
−0.100 15thRush EPA/carry allowed26th +0.059
6.1% 23rdExplosive play rate32nd 0.0%
0.0% 1stExplosive rate allowed10th 6.1%
90.0% 1st3rd-down conversion2nd 72.7%
72.7% 31st3rd-down conversion allowed32nd 90.0%
100.0% 1stRed-zone TD rate1st 100.0%
100.0% 23rdRed-zone TD rate allowed23rd 100.0%
15.2% 16thPressure rate allowed6th 8.3%
8.3% 27thPressure rate15th 15.2%
14.3% 17thTurnover rate17th 14.3%
14.3% 15thTakeaway rate15th 14.3%
28.0 12thPoints per game22nd 20.0
20.0 10thPoints allowed per game21st 28.0
−4.3% Pass rate over expected +2.3%
28.5 11thNeutral pace (sec/play)5th 25.6
+0.363 Off epa last3 +0.271
+0.271 Def epa last3 +0.363
+0.6 20thSpecial teams EPA26th −1.1

NYG offense vs DAL defense

Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for DAL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
NYGDAL D

DAL offense vs NYG defense

Offense percentiles for DAL against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
DALNYG D