Week 17 · Sunday, Jan 3 · 1:00 pm ET · Nissan Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (PIT) / 7 (TEN)
Model
Projected PIT 22.3 – TEN 19.1
margin −3.2 · total 41.3
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| PIT | TEN | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.3 12th | Power rating | 27th −3.4 |
| −3.2 30th | Offense rating | 23rd −1.8 |
| +4.6 2nd | Defense rating | 23rd −1.5 |
| −0.252 30th | Offense EPA/play | 23rd −0.141 |
| −0.358 2nd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 23rd +0.127 |
| 33.9% 32nd | Offense success rate | 14th 44.0% |
| 36.7% 5th | Defense success rate allowed | 26th 48.4% |
| −0.251 27th | Pass EPA/dropback | 24th −0.152 |
| −0.638 1st | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 27th +0.338 |
| −0.252 27th | Rush EPA/carry | 17th −0.096 |
| −0.113 13th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 23rd −0.038 |
| 6.2% 22nd | Explosive play rate | 28th 4.0% |
| 10.0% 20th | Explosive rate allowed | 24th 10.9% |
| 25.0% 23rd | 3rd-down conversion | 18th 33.3% |
| 16.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 4th 18.2% |
| 50.0% 20th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| – – | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 14.0% 13th | Pressure rate allowed | 19th 15.4% |
| 19.2% 10th | Pressure rate | 32nd 3.9% |
| 7.1% 10th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 15.4% 13th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 20.0 22nd | Points per game | 28th 10.0 |
| 13.0 6th | Points allowed per game | 14th 23.0 |
| +11.2% – | Pass rate over expected | – +5.8% |
| 25.7 6th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 7th 27.3 |
| −0.252 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.141 |
| −0.358 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.127 |
| +0.8 19th | Special teams EPA | 32nd −5.1 |
PIT offense vs TEN defense
Offense percentiles for PIT against the matching defensive percentiles for TEN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PITTEN D
TEN offense vs PIT defense
Offense percentiles for TEN against the matching defensive percentiles for PIT. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
TENPIT D