Week 17 · Sunday, Jan 3 · 1:00 pm ET · Bank of America Stadium
TBD referee · 9 rest days (SEA) / 7 (CAR)
Model
Projected SEA 28.7 – CAR 25.8
margin −2.9 · total 54.5
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| SEA | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.5 11th | Power rating | 25th −2.9 |
| +0.3 15th | Offense rating | 9th +1.6 |
| +1.2 11th | Defense rating | 31st −4.5 |
| +0.029 15th | Offense EPA/play | 9th +0.130 |
| −0.092 11th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 31st +0.361 |
| 38.8% 25th | Offense success rate | 11th 47.1% |
| 40.9% 10th | Defense success rate allowed | 29th 53.3% |
| +0.196 12th | Pass EPA/dropback | 9th +0.242 |
| +0.127 18th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 29th +0.551 |
| −0.195 25th | Rush EPA/carry | 19th −0.106 |
| −0.451 1st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 31st +0.143 |
| 10.2% 12th | Explosive play rate | 6th 11.8% |
| 1.4% 2nd | Explosive rate allowed | 28th 12.0% |
| 18.2% 28th | 3rd-down conversion | 12th 44.4% |
| 31.3% 12th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 30th 71.4% |
| 0.0% 30th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 22.2% 27th | Pressure rate allowed | 10th 11.6% |
| 14.3% 18th | Pressure rate | 28th 7.9% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 19th 15.4% |
| 33.3% 2nd | Takeaway rate | 22nd 7.1% |
| 13.0 25th | Points per game | 4th 37.0 |
| 10.0 2nd | Points allowed per game | 32nd 59.0 |
| −5.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – +3.1% |
| 28.9 13th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 4th 24.7 |
| +0.029 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.130 |
| −0.092 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.361 |
| +1.3 16th | Special teams EPA | 24th −0.5 |
SEA offense vs CAR defense
Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for CAR. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SEACAR D
CAR offense vs SEA defense
Offense percentiles for CAR against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CARSEA D