Week 18 · Sunday, Jan 10 · 1:00 pm ET · Bank of America Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (ATL) / 7 (CAR)
Model
Projected ATL 23.9 – CAR 23.8
margin −0.1 · total 47.7
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| ATL | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| −1.3 21st | Power rating | 25th −2.9 |
| −4.6 31st | Offense rating | 9th +1.6 |
| +3.2 3rd | Defense rating | 31st −4.5 |
| −0.358 31st | Offense EPA/play | 9th +0.130 |
| −0.252 3rd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 31st +0.361 |
| 36.7% 28th | Offense success rate | 11th 47.1% |
| 33.9% 1st | Defense success rate allowed | 29th 53.3% |
| −0.638 32nd | Pass EPA/dropback | 9th +0.242 |
| −0.251 6th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 29th +0.551 |
| −0.113 20th | Rush EPA/carry | 19th −0.106 |
| −0.252 6th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 31st +0.143 |
| 10.0% 13th | Explosive play rate | 6th 11.8% |
| 6.2% 11th | Explosive rate allowed | 28th 12.0% |
| 16.7% 30th | 3rd-down conversion | 12th 44.4% |
| 25.0% 8th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 30th 71.4% |
| – – | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 50.0% 9th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 19.2% 23rd | Pressure rate allowed | 10th 11.6% |
| 14.0% 20th | Pressure rate | 28th 7.9% |
| 15.4% 19th | Turnover rate | 19th 15.4% |
| 7.1% 22nd | Takeaway rate | 22nd 7.1% |
| 13.0 25th | Points per game | 4th 37.0 |
| 20.0 10th | Points allowed per game | 32nd 59.0 |
| −17.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – +3.1% |
| 30.7 18th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 4th 24.7 |
| −0.358 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.130 |
| −0.252 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.361 |
| −2.3 28th | Special teams EPA | 24th −0.5 |
ATL offense vs CAR defense
Offense percentiles for ATL against the matching defensive percentiles for CAR. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
ATLCAR D
CAR offense vs ATL defense
Offense percentiles for CAR against the matching defensive percentiles for ATL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CARATL D