Week 18 · Sunday, Jan 10 · 1:00 pm ET · Northwest Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (DAL) / 7 (WAS)
Model
Projected DAL 27.6 – WAS 30.6
margin +3.1 · total 58.2
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| DAL | WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| −1.2 20th | Power rating | 16th +0.4 |
| +3.3 5th | Offense rating | 14th +0.7 |
| −4.5 32nd | Defense rating | 17th −0.3 |
| +0.271 5th | Offense EPA/play | 14th +0.059 |
| +0.363 32nd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 17th +0.027 |
| 48.3% 8th | Offense success rate | 19th 42.9% |
| 59.1% 31st | Defense success rate allowed | 2nd 34.0% |
| +0.425 5th | Pass EPA/dropback | 14th +0.133 |
| +0.667 31st | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 20th +0.136 |
| −0.100 18th | Rush EPA/carry | 12th −0.047 |
| +0.059 26th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 10th −0.167 |
| 0.0% 32nd | Explosive play rate | 27th 4.3% |
| 6.1% 10th | Explosive rate allowed | 19th 9.4% |
| 72.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion | 18th 33.3% |
| 90.0% 32nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 19th 42.9% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 8.3% 6th | Pressure rate allowed | 2nd 5.1% |
| 15.2% 15th | Pressure rate | 15th 15.2% |
| 14.3% 17th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 14.3% 15th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 20.0 22nd | Points per game | 20th 22.0 |
| 28.0 21st | Points allowed per game | 16th 24.0 |
| +2.3% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.7% |
| 25.6 5th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 10th 28.3 |
| +0.271 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.059 |
| +0.363 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.027 |
| −1.1 26th | Special teams EPA | 21st +0.2 |
DAL offense vs WAS defense
Offense percentiles for DAL against the matching defensive percentiles for WAS. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DALWAS D
WAS offense vs DAL defense
Offense percentiles for WAS against the matching defensive percentiles for DAL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
WASDAL D