NFLStats2026 · Wk 2

Week 18 · Sunday, Jan 10 · 1:00 pm ET · SoFi Stadium (dome)

TBD referee · 7 rest days (SEA) / 7 (LA)

Model

65%SEA35%LA

Projected SEA 26.6 – LA 21.3
margin −5.3 · total 47.9

Market

No market line yet.

Edge

Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.

Spread edge
Total edge

Side by side

Season to date with league ranks.

SEALA
+1.5 11thPower rating29th −5.2
+0.3 15thOffense rating28th −2.9
+1.2 11thDefense rating26th −2.3
+0.029 15thOffense EPA/play28th −0.226
−0.092 11thDefense EPA/play allowed26th +0.190
38.8% 25thOffense success rate16th 43.3%
40.9% 10thDefense success rate allowed30th 56.9%
+0.196 12thPass EPA/dropback29th −0.270
+0.127 18thPass EPA/dropback allowed22nd +0.227
−0.195 25thRush EPA/carry24th −0.171
−0.451 1stRush EPA/carry allowed30th +0.142
10.2% 12thExplosive play rate21st 6.7%
1.4% 2ndExplosive rate allowed13th 7.7%
18.2% 28th3rd-down conversion26th 22.2%
31.3% 12th3rd-down conversion allowed29th 58.3%
0.0% 30thRed-zone TD rate26th 33.3%
50.0% 9thRed-zone TD rate allowed14th 66.7%
22.2% 27thPressure rate allowed30th 27.6%
14.3% 18thPressure rate30th 5.6%
0.0% 1stTurnover rate27th 20.0%
33.3% 2ndTakeaway rate17th 11.1%
13.0 25thPoints per game32nd 7.0
10.0 2ndPoints allowed per game18th 27.0
−5.5% Pass rate over expected −14.8%
28.9 13thNeutral pace (sec/play)23rd 31.8
+0.029 Off epa last3 −0.226
−0.092 Def epa last3 +0.190
+1.3 16thSpecial teams EPA22nd +0.1

SEA offense vs LA defense

Offense percentiles for SEA against the matching defensive percentiles for LA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
SEALA D

LA offense vs SEA defense

Offense percentiles for LA against the matching defensive percentiles for SEA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
LASEA D