Week 18 · Sunday, Jan 10 · 1:00 pm ET · State Farm Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (SF) / 7 (ARI)
Model
Projected SF 24.1 – ARI 24.2
margin +0.1 · total 48.4
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| SF | ARI | |
|---|---|---|
| +5.2 4th | Power rating | 5th +3.9 |
| +2.3 7th | Offense rating | 8th +1.7 |
| +2.9 5th | Defense rating | 9th +2.2 |
| +0.190 7th | Offense EPA/play | 8th +0.139 |
| −0.226 5th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 9th −0.167 |
| 56.9% 3rd | Offense success rate | 6th 48.6% |
| 43.3% 17th | Defense success rate allowed | 9th 40.0% |
| +0.227 11th | Pass EPA/dropback | 8th +0.270 |
| −0.270 4th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 10th −0.087 |
| +0.142 3rd | Rush EPA/carry | 11th −0.044 |
| −0.171 9th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 4th −0.360 |
| 7.7% 19th | Explosive play rate | 24th 5.6% |
| 6.7% 12th | Explosive rate allowed | 8th 5.5% |
| 58.3% 4th | 3rd-down conversion | 11th 46.2% |
| 22.2% 7th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 8th 25.0% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 24th 40.0% |
| 33.3% 4th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 5.6% 3rd | Pressure rate allowed | 12th 12.8% |
| 27.6% 3rd | Pressure rate | 24th 11.4% |
| 11.1% 16th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 20.0% 5th | Takeaway rate | 5th 20.0% |
| 27.0 13th | Points per game | 16th 26.0 |
| 7.0 1st | Points allowed per game | 9th 14.0 |
| +5.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – −0.5% |
| 32.7 25th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 17th 30.5 |
| +0.190 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.139 |
| −0.226 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.167 |
| −0.7 25th | Special teams EPA | 30th −3.9 |
SF offense vs ARI defense
Offense percentiles for SF against the matching defensive percentiles for ARI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
SFARI D
ARI offense vs SF defense
Offense percentiles for ARI against the matching defensive percentiles for SF. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
ARISF D