Week 3 · Monday, Sep 28 · 8:15 pm ET · Soldier Field
TBD referee · 8 rest days (PHI) / 8 (CHI)
Model
Projected PHI 25.8 – CHI 30.6
margin +4.8 · total 56.4
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| PHI | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| −0.4 17th | Power rating | 8th +2.9 |
| +0.3 16th | Offense rating | 2nd +4.5 |
| −0.7 19th | Defense rating | 24th −1.6 |
| +0.027 16th | Offense EPA/play | 2nd +0.361 |
| +0.059 19th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 24th +0.130 |
| 34.0% 31st | Offense success rate | 4th 53.3% |
| 42.9% 14th | Defense success rate allowed | 22nd 47.1% |
| +0.136 13th | Pass EPA/dropback | 4th +0.551 |
| +0.133 19th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 24th +0.242 |
| −0.167 23rd | Rush EPA/carry | 2nd +0.143 |
| −0.047 21st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 14th −0.106 |
| 9.4% 14th | Explosive play rate | 5th 12.0% |
| 4.3% 6th | Explosive rate allowed | 27th 11.8% |
| 42.9% 14th | 3rd-down conversion | 3rd 71.4% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 21st 44.4% |
| 66.7% 15th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 5th 7.9% |
| 5.1% 31st | Pressure rate | 23rd 11.6% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 10th 7.1% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 13th 15.4% |
| 24.0 17th | Points per game | 1st 59.0 |
| 22.0 12th | Points allowed per game | 29th 37.0 |
| −5.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – −1.7% |
| 31.1 22nd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 12th 28.6 |
| +0.027 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.361 |
| +0.059 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.130 |
| +1.1 17th | Special teams EPA | 1st +6.4 |
PHI offense vs CHI defense
Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for CHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
PHICHI D
CHI offense vs PHI defense
Offense percentiles for CHI against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CHIPHI D