Week 3 · Sunday, Sep 27 · 1:00 pm ET · MetLife Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (TEN) / 6 (NYG)
Model
Projected TEN 25.5 – NYG 31.5
margin +6.0 · total 57.0
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| TEN | NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| −3.4 27th | Power rating | 13th +1.2 |
| −1.8 23rd | Offense rating | 1st +4.5 |
| −1.5 23rd | Defense rating | 28th −3.3 |
| −0.141 23rd | Offense EPA/play | 1st +0.363 |
| +0.127 23rd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 28th +0.271 |
| 44.0% 14th | Offense success rate | 2nd 59.1% |
| 48.4% 26th | Defense success rate allowed | 25th 48.3% |
| −0.152 24th | Pass EPA/dropback | 2nd +0.667 |
| +0.338 27th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 28th +0.425 |
| −0.096 17th | Rush EPA/carry | 7th +0.059 |
| −0.038 23rd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 15th −0.100 |
| 4.0% 28th | Explosive play rate | 23rd 6.1% |
| 10.9% 24th | Explosive rate allowed | 1st 0.0% |
| 33.3% 18th | 3rd-down conversion | 1st 90.0% |
| 18.2% 4th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 31st 72.7% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 66.7% 14th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 15.4% 19th | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 3.9% 32nd | Pressure rate | 27th 8.3% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 17th 14.3% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 15th 14.3% |
| 10.0 28th | Points per game | 12th 28.0 |
| 23.0 14th | Points allowed per game | 10th 20.0 |
| +5.8% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.3% |
| 27.3 7th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 11th 28.5 |
| −0.141 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.363 |
| +0.127 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.271 |
| −5.1 32nd | Special teams EPA | 20th +0.6 |
TEN offense vs NYG defense
Offense percentiles for TEN against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
TENNYG D
NYG offense vs TEN defense
Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for TEN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYGTEN D