Week 4 · Sunday, Oct 4 · 1:00 pm ET · MetLife Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (ARI) / 7 (NYG)
Model
Projected ARI 29.0 – NYG 27.8
margin −1.2 · total 56.8
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| ARI | NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| +3.9 5th | Power rating | 13th +1.2 |
| +1.7 8th | Offense rating | 1st +4.5 |
| +2.2 9th | Defense rating | 28th −3.3 |
| +0.139 8th | Offense EPA/play | 1st +0.363 |
| −0.167 9th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 28th +0.271 |
| 48.6% 6th | Offense success rate | 2nd 59.1% |
| 40.0% 9th | Defense success rate allowed | 25th 48.3% |
| +0.270 8th | Pass EPA/dropback | 2nd +0.667 |
| −0.087 10th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 28th +0.425 |
| −0.044 11th | Rush EPA/carry | 7th +0.059 |
| −0.360 4th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 15th −0.100 |
| 5.6% 24th | Explosive play rate | 23rd 6.1% |
| 5.5% 8th | Explosive rate allowed | 1st 0.0% |
| 46.2% 11th | 3rd-down conversion | 1st 90.0% |
| 25.0% 8th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 31st 72.7% |
| 40.0% 24th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 66.7% 14th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 12.8% 12th | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 11.4% 24th | Pressure rate | 27th 8.3% |
| 0.0% 1st | Turnover rate | 17th 14.3% |
| 20.0% 5th | Takeaway rate | 15th 14.3% |
| 26.0 16th | Points per game | 12th 28.0 |
| 14.0 9th | Points allowed per game | 10th 20.0 |
| −0.5% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.3% |
| 30.5 17th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 11th 28.5 |
| +0.139 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.363 |
| −0.167 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.271 |
| −3.9 30th | Special teams EPA | 20th +0.6 |
ARI offense vs NYG defense
Offense percentiles for ARI against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
ARINYG D
NYG offense vs ARI defense
Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for ARI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYGARI D