Week 4 · Sunday, Oct 4 · 8:20 pm ET · Bank of America Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (DET) / 7 (CAR)
Model
Projected DET 28.0 – CAR 27.2
margin −0.8 · total 55.2
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| DET | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| −0.6 18th | Power rating | 25th −2.9 |
| −0.4 19th | Offense rating | 9th +1.6 |
| −0.2 16th | Defense rating | 31st −4.5 |
| −0.027 19th | Offense EPA/play | 9th +0.130 |
| +0.019 16th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 31st +0.361 |
| 45.5% 13th | Offense success rate | 11th 47.1% |
| 43.8% 18th | Defense success rate allowed | 29th 53.3% |
| +0.012 19th | Pass EPA/dropback | 9th +0.242 |
| +0.052 16th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 29th +0.551 |
| −0.072 14th | Rush EPA/carry | 19th −0.106 |
| −0.075 18th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 31st +0.143 |
| 10.4% 11th | Explosive play rate | 6th 11.8% |
| 9.0% 17th | Explosive rate allowed | 28th 12.0% |
| 38.5% 16th | 3rd-down conversion | 12th 44.4% |
| 47.1% 23rd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 30th 71.4% |
| 80.0% 10th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 80.0% 20th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 19.5% 24th | Pressure rate allowed | 10th 11.6% |
| 14.3% 18th | Pressure rate | 28th 7.9% |
| 6.7% 9th | Turnover rate | 19th 15.4% |
| 21.4% 4th | Takeaway rate | 22nd 7.1% |
| 31.0 8th | Points per game | 4th 37.0 |
| 30.0 22nd | Points allowed per game | 32nd 59.0 |
| −2.4% – | Pass rate over expected | – +3.1% |
| 31.1 20th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 4th 24.7 |
| −0.027 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.130 |
| +0.019 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.361 |
| +0.1 23rd | Special teams EPA | 24th −0.5 |
DET offense vs CAR defense
Offense percentiles for DET against the matching defensive percentiles for CAR. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DETCAR D
CAR offense vs DET defense
Offense percentiles for CAR against the matching defensive percentiles for DET. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CARDET D