Week 4 · Sunday, Oct 4 · 9:30 am ET · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (IND) / 7 (WAS)
Model
Projected IND 21.3 – WAS 28.7
margin +7.4 · total 50.1
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| IND | WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| −5.5 30th | Power rating | 16th +0.4 |
| −2.9 27th | Offense rating | 14th +0.7 |
| −2.6 27th | Defense rating | 17th −0.3 |
| −0.225 27th | Offense EPA/play | 14th +0.059 |
| +0.209 27th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 17th +0.027 |
| 42.6% 20th | Offense success rate | 19th 42.9% |
| 46.9% 21st | Defense success rate allowed | 2nd 34.0% |
| −0.410 30th | Pass EPA/dropback | 14th +0.133 |
| +0.316 26th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 20th +0.136 |
| +0.116 5th | Rush EPA/carry | 12th −0.047 |
| +0.102 27th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 10th −0.167 |
| 13.0% 4th | Explosive play rate | 27th 4.3% |
| 10.9% 24th | Explosive rate allowed | 19th 9.4% |
| 30.0% 22nd | 3rd-down conversion | 18th 33.3% |
| 37.5% 16th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 19th 42.9% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 75.0% 18th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 14th 66.7% |
| 26.5% 29th | Pressure rate allowed | 2nd 5.1% |
| 10.3% 25th | Pressure rate | 15th 15.2% |
| 16.7% 21st | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 7.7% 20th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 23.0 18th | Points per game | 20th 22.0 |
| 41.0 31st | Points allowed per game | 16th 24.0 |
| −4.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.7% |
| 35.7 30th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 10th 28.3 |
| −0.225 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.059 |
| +0.209 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.027 |
| +4.4 8th | Special teams EPA | 21st +0.2 |
IND offense vs WAS defense
Offense percentiles for IND against the matching defensive percentiles for WAS. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
INDWAS D
WAS offense vs IND defense
Offense percentiles for WAS against the matching defensive percentiles for IND. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
WASIND D