Week 5 · Sunday, Oct 11 · 1:00 pm ET · MetLife Stadium
TBD referee · 10 rest days (CLE) / 7 (NYJ)
Model
Projected CLE 19.5 – NYJ 30.8
margin +11.4 · total 50.3
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| CLE | NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| −6.5 32nd | Power rating | 6th +3.4 |
| −2.7 26th | Offense rating | 10th +1.5 |
| −3.8 30th | Defense rating | 10th +1.8 |
| −0.206 26th | Offense EPA/play | 10th +0.127 |
| +0.310 30th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 10th −0.141 |
| 43.1% 17th | Offense success rate | 7th 48.4% |
| 59.3% 32nd | Defense success rate allowed | 19th 44.0% |
| −0.257 28th | Pass EPA/dropback | 6th +0.338 |
| +0.731 32nd | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 9th −0.152 |
| −0.119 21st | Rush EPA/carry | 10th −0.038 |
| −0.053 20th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 16th −0.096 |
| 7.8% 18th | Explosive play rate | 8th 10.9% |
| 16.7% 32nd | Explosive rate allowed | 5th 4.0% |
| 12.5% 32nd | 3rd-down conversion | 28th 18.2% |
| 55.6% 25th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 13th 33.3% |
| 0.0% 30th | Red-zone TD rate | 15th 66.7% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 30.0% 31st | Pressure rate allowed | 1st 3.9% |
| 12.5% 22nd | Pressure rate | 14th 15.4% |
| 22.2% 30th | Turnover rate | 1st 0.0% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 10.0 28th | Points per game | 18th 23.0 |
| 34.0 27th | Points allowed per game | 2nd 10.0 |
| −9.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – −8.9% |
| 38.8 32nd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 28th 34.3 |
| −0.206 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.127 |
| +0.310 – | Def epa last3 | – −0.141 |
| +6.1 2nd | Special teams EPA | 11th +3.5 |
CLE offense vs NYJ defense
Offense percentiles for CLE against the matching defensive percentiles for NYJ. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CLENYJ D
NYJ offense vs CLE defense
Offense percentiles for NYJ against the matching defensive percentiles for CLE. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYJCLE D