Week 6 · Sunday, Oct 18 · 1:00 pm ET · MetLife Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (NO) / 7 (NYG)
Model
Projected NO 27.5 – NYG 29.6
margin +2.1 · total 57.1
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| NO | NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| +0.6 15th | Power rating | 13th +1.2 |
| +0.2 17th | Offense rating | 1st +4.5 |
| +0.4 14th | Defense rating | 28th −3.3 |
| +0.019 17th | Offense EPA/play | 1st +0.363 |
| −0.027 14th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 28th +0.271 |
| 43.8% 15th | Offense success rate | 2nd 59.1% |
| 45.5% 20th | Defense success rate allowed | 25th 48.3% |
| +0.052 17th | Pass EPA/dropback | 2nd +0.667 |
| +0.012 14th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 28th +0.425 |
| −0.075 15th | Rush EPA/carry | 7th +0.059 |
| −0.072 19th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 15th −0.100 |
| 9.0% 16th | Explosive play rate | 23rd 6.1% |
| 10.4% 22nd | Explosive rate allowed | 1st 0.0% |
| 47.1% 10th | 3rd-down conversion | 1st 90.0% |
| 38.5% 17th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 31st 72.7% |
| 80.0% 10th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 80.0% 20th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 14.3% 14th | Pressure rate allowed | 16th 15.2% |
| 19.5% 9th | Pressure rate | 27th 8.3% |
| 21.4% 29th | Turnover rate | 17th 14.3% |
| 6.7% 24th | Takeaway rate | 15th 14.3% |
| 30.0 11th | Points per game | 12th 28.0 |
| 31.0 23rd | Points allowed per game | 10th 20.0 |
| +4.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.3% |
| 21.6 2nd | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 11th 28.5 |
| +0.019 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.363 |
| −0.027 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.271 |
| −2.4 29th | Special teams EPA | 20th +0.6 |
NO offense vs NYG defense
Offense percentiles for NO against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NONYG D
NYG offense vs NO defense
Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for NO. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYGNO D