Week 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 · 1:00 pm ET · Reliant Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (NYG) / 7 (HOU)
Model
Projected NYG 31.9 – HOU 29.6
margin −2.3 · total 61.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| NYG | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| +1.2 13th | Power rating | 23rd −2.6 |
| +4.5 1st | Offense rating | 13th +0.8 |
| −3.3 28th | Defense rating | 29th −3.4 |
| +0.363 1st | Offense EPA/play | 13th +0.071 |
| +0.271 28th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 29th +0.278 |
| 59.1% 2nd | Offense success rate | 9th 48.1% |
| 48.3% 25th | Defense success rate allowed | 12th 41.1% |
| +0.667 2nd | Pass EPA/dropback | 16th +0.098 |
| +0.425 28th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 30th +0.556 |
| +0.059 7th | Rush EPA/carry | 9th +0.030 |
| −0.100 15th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 5th −0.263 |
| 6.1% 23rd | Explosive play rate | 17th 8.9% |
| 0.0% 1st | Explosive rate allowed | 31st 14.3% |
| 90.0% 1st | 3rd-down conversion | 13th 43.8% |
| 72.7% 31st | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 13th 33.3% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 10th 80.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 4th 33.3% |
| 15.2% 16th | Pressure rate allowed | 26th 21.4% |
| 8.3% 27th | Pressure rate | 26th 9.1% |
| 14.3% 17th | Turnover rate | 24th 18.2% |
| 14.3% 15th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 28.0 12th | Points per game | 8th 31.0 |
| 20.0 10th | Points allowed per game | 28th 36.0 |
| −4.3% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.8% |
| 28.5 11th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 21st 31.1 |
| +0.363 – | Off epa last3 | – +0.071 |
| +0.271 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.278 |
| +0.6 20th | Special teams EPA | 9th +4.3 |
NYG offense vs HOU defense
Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for HOU. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
NYGHOU D
HOU offense vs NYG defense
Offense percentiles for HOU against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
HOUNYG D