Week 8 · Thursday, Oct 29 · 8:15 pm ET · Lambeau Field
TBD referee · 4 rest days (CAR) / 4 (GB)
Model
Projected CAR 26.4 – GB 27.6
margin +1.2 · total 54.0
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| CAR | GB | |
|---|---|---|
| −2.9 25th | Power rating | 26th −3.2 |
| +1.6 9th | Offense rating | 25th −2.4 |
| −4.5 31st | Defense rating | 21st −0.8 |
| +0.130 9th | Offense EPA/play | 25th −0.181 |
| +0.361 31st | Defense EPA/play allowed | 21st +0.071 |
| 47.1% 11th | Offense success rate | 27th 38.2% |
| 53.3% 29th | Defense success rate allowed | 7th 38.7% |
| +0.242 9th | Pass EPA/dropback | 22nd −0.059 |
| +0.551 29th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 23rd +0.233 |
| −0.106 19th | Rush EPA/carry | 31st −0.438 |
| +0.143 31st | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 11th −0.125 |
| 11.8% 6th | Explosive play rate | 3rd 13.2% |
| 12.0% 28th | Explosive rate allowed | 4th 3.2% |
| 44.4% 12th | 3rd-down conversion | 23rd 25.0% |
| 71.4% 30th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 27th 57.1% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 29th 25.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 11.6% 10th | Pressure rate allowed | 32nd 32.6% |
| 7.9% 28th | Pressure rate | 13th 16.1% |
| 15.4% 19th | Turnover rate | 21st 16.7% |
| 7.1% 22nd | Takeaway rate | 20th 7.7% |
| 37.0 4th | Points per game | 20th 22.0 |
| 59.0 32nd | Points allowed per game | 30th 39.0 |
| +3.1% – | Pass rate over expected | – −3.0% |
| 24.7 4th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 1st 19.3 |
| +0.130 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.181 |
| +0.361 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.071 |
| −0.5 24th | Special teams EPA | 12th +3.5 |
CAR offense vs GB defense
Offense percentiles for CAR against the matching defensive percentiles for GB. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CARGB D
GB offense vs CAR defense
Offense percentiles for GB against the matching defensive percentiles for CAR. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
GBCAR D