Week 9 · Sunday, Nov 8 · 1:00 pm ET · Lucas Oil Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (DAL) / 7 (IND)
Model
Projected DAL 29.9 – IND 27.1
margin −2.8 · total 57.0
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| DAL | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| −1.2 20th | Power rating | 30th −5.5 |
| +3.3 5th | Offense rating | 27th −2.9 |
| −4.5 32nd | Defense rating | 27th −2.6 |
| +0.271 5th | Offense EPA/play | 27th −0.225 |
| +0.363 32nd | Defense EPA/play allowed | 27th +0.209 |
| 48.3% 8th | Offense success rate | 20th 42.6% |
| 59.1% 31st | Defense success rate allowed | 21st 46.9% |
| +0.425 5th | Pass EPA/dropback | 30th −0.410 |
| +0.667 31st | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 26th +0.316 |
| −0.100 18th | Rush EPA/carry | 5th +0.116 |
| +0.059 26th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 27th +0.102 |
| 0.0% 32nd | Explosive play rate | 4th 13.0% |
| 6.1% 10th | Explosive rate allowed | 24th 10.9% |
| 72.7% 2nd | 3rd-down conversion | 22nd 30.0% |
| 90.0% 32nd | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 16th 37.5% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 100.0% 23rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 18th 75.0% |
| 8.3% 6th | Pressure rate allowed | 29th 26.5% |
| 15.2% 15th | Pressure rate | 25th 10.3% |
| 14.3% 17th | Turnover rate | 21st 16.7% |
| 14.3% 15th | Takeaway rate | 20th 7.7% |
| 20.0 22nd | Points per game | 18th 23.0 |
| 28.0 21st | Points allowed per game | 31st 41.0 |
| +2.3% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.1% |
| 25.6 5th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 30th 35.7 |
| +0.271 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.225 |
| +0.363 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.209 |
| −1.1 26th | Special teams EPA | 8th +4.4 |
DAL offense vs IND defense
Offense percentiles for DAL against the matching defensive percentiles for IND. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
DALIND D
IND offense vs DAL defense
Offense percentiles for IND against the matching defensive percentiles for DAL. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
INDDAL D