NFLStats2026 · Wk 2

Week 9 · Sunday, Nov 8 · 1:00 pm ET · Northwest Stadium

TBD referee · 7 rest days (LA) / 7 (WAS)

Model

30%LA70%WAS

Projected LA 21.3 – WAS 28.5
margin +7.1 · total 49.8

Market

No market line yet.

Edge

Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.

Spread edge
Total edge

Side by side

Season to date with league ranks.

LAWAS
−5.2 29thPower rating16th +0.4
−2.9 28thOffense rating14th +0.7
−2.3 26thDefense rating17th −0.3
−0.226 28thOffense EPA/play14th +0.059
+0.190 26thDefense EPA/play allowed17th +0.027
43.3% 16thOffense success rate19th 42.9%
56.9% 30thDefense success rate allowed2nd 34.0%
−0.270 29thPass EPA/dropback14th +0.133
+0.227 22ndPass EPA/dropback allowed20th +0.136
−0.171 24thRush EPA/carry12th −0.047
+0.142 30thRush EPA/carry allowed10th −0.167
6.7% 21stExplosive play rate27th 4.3%
7.7% 13thExplosive rate allowed19th 9.4%
22.2% 26th3rd-down conversion18th 33.3%
58.3% 29th3rd-down conversion allowed19th 42.9%
33.3% 26thRed-zone TD rate1st 100.0%
66.7% 14thRed-zone TD rate allowed14th 66.7%
27.6% 30thPressure rate allowed2nd 5.1%
5.6% 30thPressure rate15th 15.2%
20.0% 27thTurnover rate1st 0.0%
11.1% 17thTakeaway rate25th 0.0%
7.0 32ndPoints per game20th 22.0
27.0 18thPoints allowed per game16th 24.0
−14.8% Pass rate over expected −4.7%
31.8 23rdNeutral pace (sec/play)10th 28.3
−0.226 Off epa last3 +0.059
+0.190 Def epa last3 +0.027
+0.1 22ndSpecial teams EPA21st +0.2

LA offense vs WAS defense

Offense percentiles for LA against the matching defensive percentiles for WAS. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
LAWAS D

WAS offense vs LA defense

Offense percentiles for WAS against the matching defensive percentiles for LA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
WASLA D