NFLStats2026 · Wk 2

Week 9 · Sunday, Nov 8 · 1:00 pm ET · Lincoln Financial Field

TBD referee · 14 rest days (NYG) / 7 (PHI)

Model

50%NYG50%PHI

Projected NYG 29.1 – PHI 29.1
margin −0.1 · total 58.2

Market

No market line yet.

Edge

Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.

Spread edge
Total edge

Side by side

Season to date with league ranks.

NYGPHI
+1.2 13thPower rating17th −0.4
+4.5 1stOffense rating16th +0.3
−3.3 28thDefense rating19th −0.7
+0.363 1stOffense EPA/play16th +0.027
+0.271 28thDefense EPA/play allowed19th +0.059
59.1% 2ndOffense success rate31st 34.0%
48.3% 25thDefense success rate allowed14th 42.9%
+0.667 2ndPass EPA/dropback13th +0.136
+0.425 28thPass EPA/dropback allowed19th +0.133
+0.059 7thRush EPA/carry23rd −0.167
−0.100 15thRush EPA/carry allowed21st −0.047
6.1% 23rdExplosive play rate14th 9.4%
0.0% 1stExplosive rate allowed6th 4.3%
90.0% 1st3rd-down conversion14th 42.9%
72.7% 31st3rd-down conversion allowed13th 33.3%
100.0% 1stRed-zone TD rate15th 66.7%
100.0% 23rdRed-zone TD rate allowed23rd 100.0%
15.2% 16thPressure rate allowed16th 15.2%
8.3% 27thPressure rate31st 5.1%
14.3% 17thTurnover rate1st 0.0%
14.3% 15thTakeaway rate25th 0.0%
28.0 12thPoints per game17th 24.0
20.0 10thPoints allowed per game12th 22.0
−4.3% Pass rate over expected −5.5%
28.5 11thNeutral pace (sec/play)22nd 31.1
+0.363 Off epa last3 +0.027
+0.271 Def epa last3 +0.059
+0.6 20thSpecial teams EPA17th +1.1

NYG offense vs PHI defense

Offense percentiles for NYG against the matching defensive percentiles for PHI. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
NYGPHI D

PHI offense vs NYG defense

Offense percentiles for PHI against the matching defensive percentiles for NYG. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.

PassRushSuccessExplosive3rd downRed zoneProtectionBall security
PHINYG D