Week 10 · Sunday, Nov 15 · 1:00 pm ET · Huntington Bank Field
TBD referee · 7 rest days (HOU) / 7 (CLE)
Model
Projected HOU 28.6 – CLE 26.2
margin −2.4 · total 54.9
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| HOU | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| −2.6 23rd | Power rating | 32nd −6.5 |
| +0.8 13th | Offense rating | 26th −2.7 |
| −3.4 29th | Defense rating | 30th −3.8 |
| +0.071 13th | Offense EPA/play | 26th −0.206 |
| +0.278 29th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 30th +0.310 |
| 48.1% 9th | Offense success rate | 17th 43.1% |
| 41.1% 12th | Defense success rate allowed | 32nd 59.3% |
| +0.098 16th | Pass EPA/dropback | 28th −0.257 |
| +0.556 30th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 32nd +0.731 |
| +0.030 9th | Rush EPA/carry | 21st −0.119 |
| −0.263 5th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 20th −0.053 |
| 8.9% 17th | Explosive play rate | 18th 7.8% |
| 14.3% 31st | Explosive rate allowed | 32nd 16.7% |
| 43.8% 13th | 3rd-down conversion | 32nd 12.5% |
| 33.3% 13th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 25th 55.6% |
| 80.0% 10th | Red-zone TD rate | 30th 0.0% |
| 33.3% 4th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 21.4% 26th | Pressure rate allowed | 31st 30.0% |
| 9.1% 26th | Pressure rate | 22nd 12.5% |
| 18.2% 24th | Turnover rate | 30th 22.2% |
| 0.0% 25th | Takeaway rate | 25th 0.0% |
| 31.0 8th | Points per game | 28th 10.0 |
| 36.0 28th | Points allowed per game | 27th 34.0 |
| −4.8% – | Pass rate over expected | – −9.7% |
| 31.1 21st | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 32nd 38.8 |
| +0.071 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.206 |
| +0.278 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.310 |
| +4.3 9th | Special teams EPA | 2nd +6.1 |
HOU offense vs CLE defense
Offense percentiles for HOU against the matching defensive percentiles for CLE. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
HOUCLE D
CLE offense vs HOU defense
Offense percentiles for CLE against the matching defensive percentiles for HOU. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
CLEHOU D