Week 10 · Sunday, Nov 15 · 1:00 pm ET · Lucas Oil Stadium
TBD referee · 7 rest days (MIA) / 7 (IND)
Model
Projected MIA 23.4 – IND 22.1
margin −1.3 · total 45.6
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| MIA | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| −2.7 24th | Power rating | 30th −5.5 |
| −3.1 29th | Offense rating | 27th −2.9 |
| +0.4 13th | Defense rating | 27th −2.6 |
| −0.242 29th | Offense EPA/play | 27th −0.225 |
| −0.029 13th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 27th +0.209 |
| 34.6% 30th | Offense success rate | 20th 42.6% |
| 43.1% 15th | Defense success rate allowed | 21st 46.9% |
| −0.183 26th | Pass EPA/dropback | 30th −0.410 |
| +0.027 15th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 26th +0.316 |
| −0.399 30th | Rush EPA/carry | 5th +0.116 |
| −0.083 17th | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 27th +0.102 |
| 10.9% 10th | Explosive play rate | 4th 13.0% |
| 7.7% 13th | Explosive rate allowed | 24th 10.9% |
| 20.0% 27th | 3rd-down conversion | 22nd 30.0% |
| 41.7% 18th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 16th 37.5% |
| 33.3% 26th | Red-zone TD rate | 1st 100.0% |
| 75.0% 18th | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 18th 75.0% |
| 24.3% 28th | Pressure rate allowed | 29th 26.5% |
| 6.5% 29th | Pressure rate | 25th 10.3% |
| 18.2% 24th | Turnover rate | 21st 16.7% |
| 18.2% 7th | Takeaway rate | 20th 7.7% |
| 13.0 25th | Points per game | 18th 23.0 |
| 27.0 18th | Points allowed per game | 31st 41.0 |
| −2.7% – | Pass rate over expected | – −4.1% |
| 34.4 29th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 30th 35.7 |
| −0.242 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.225 |
| −0.029 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.209 |
| −1.2 27th | Special teams EPA | 8th +4.4 |
MIA offense vs IND defense
Offense percentiles for MIA against the matching defensive percentiles for IND. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
MIAIND D
IND offense vs MIA defense
Offense percentiles for IND against the matching defensive percentiles for MIA. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
INDMIA D