Week 10 · Sunday, Nov 15 · 1:00 pm ET · Lambeau Field
TBD referee · 6 rest days (MIN) / 7 (GB)
Model
Projected MIN 25.6 – GB 20.8
margin −4.9 · total 46.4
Market
No market line yet.
Edge
Model minus market. Small numbers are noise; a few points is a real disagreement.
Spread edge
–
Total edge
–
Side by side
Season to date with league ranks.
| MIN | GB | |
|---|---|---|
| +3.2 7th | Power rating | 26th −3.2 |
| +0.8 12th | Offense rating | 25th −2.4 |
| +2.4 8th | Defense rating | 21st −0.8 |
| +0.071 12th | Offense EPA/play | 25th −0.181 |
| −0.181 8th | Defense EPA/play allowed | 21st +0.071 |
| 38.7% 26th | Offense success rate | 27th 38.2% |
| 38.2% 6th | Defense success rate allowed | 7th 38.7% |
| +0.233 10th | Pass EPA/dropback | 22nd −0.059 |
| −0.059 11th | Pass EPA/dropback allowed | 23rd +0.233 |
| −0.125 22nd | Rush EPA/carry | 31st −0.438 |
| −0.438 2nd | Rush EPA/carry allowed | 11th −0.125 |
| 3.2% 29th | Explosive play rate | 3rd 13.2% |
| 13.2% 30th | Explosive rate allowed | 4th 3.2% |
| 57.1% 5th | 3rd-down conversion | 23rd 25.0% |
| 25.0% 8th | 3rd-down conversion allowed | 27th 57.1% |
| 100.0% 1st | Red-zone TD rate | 29th 25.0% |
| 25.0% 3rd | Red-zone TD rate allowed | 23rd 100.0% |
| 16.1% 20th | Pressure rate allowed | 32nd 32.6% |
| 32.6% 1st | Pressure rate | 13th 16.1% |
| 7.7% 12th | Turnover rate | 21st 16.7% |
| 16.7% 10th | Takeaway rate | 20th 7.7% |
| 39.0 3rd | Points per game | 20th 22.0 |
| 22.0 12th | Points allowed per game | 30th 39.0 |
| −8.0% – | Pass rate over expected | – −3.0% |
| 32.7 26th | Neutral pace (sec/play) | 1st 19.3 |
| +0.071 – | Off epa last3 | – −0.181 |
| −0.181 – | Def epa last3 | – +0.071 |
| +3.0 14th | Special teams EPA | 12th +3.5 |
MIN offense vs GB defense
Offense percentiles for MIN against the matching defensive percentiles for GB. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
MINGB D
GB offense vs MIN defense
Offense percentiles for GB against the matching defensive percentiles for MIN. Where the offense polygon reaches beyond the defense, the attack has the edge.
GBMIN D